Written Commentary
GOLD / SILVER
At least to start the Thursday trading session, outside market forces for gold and silver are supportive with the dollar lower, treasury prices higher and general strength in most physical commodity markets. However, we see the prevailing trend in gold and silver remaining down as the chatter about tapering continues to flood the headlines daily and more importantly there are signs the Chinese economy is slowing from delta, energy shortages and or increased Chinese government regulation.
PALLADIUM /PLATINUM
After a fresh failure yesterday and a multi-quarter low the palladium market has bounced and continues to build open interest while building a consolidation pattern and therefore the market may be attempting to find a bottom. The downside breakout in palladium yesterday provided the brunt of the selling pressure in platinum and palladium could continue to “drag” platinum lower in the event it breaks out down again.
COPPER
In addition to a normal corrective track, copper remains under serious demand destruction fears from events in China. As indicated earlier this week, China is suffering energy shortages and has idled industrial facilities which in turn should reduce economic activity and logically spark fears of lower copper consumption.
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